This headline is from a recent article by Rick Ferri in Forbes.
The bottomline is that experienced managers even with proprietary research tools aren’t particularly successful at market timing.
It would seem relatively safe to say that being a successful market timer is pretty difficult and an individual investor without the professional fund manager tools and experience is pretty unlikely to be successful.
As a result, as boring and unsexy as it appears, investment success is more likely to be found with a solid overall investment strategy that is tweaked as a result in changes in the investor’s circumstances not based on expected changes in the market or economic circumstances.